Hawaii Real Estate Resource

head_left_image

Key Takaways from Paul Brewbaker July 2016 Presentation

Paul Brewbaker presented at the Kauai Board of Realtors and Realtors Association of Maui in July.  I attended the Maui meeting and came away with the following takaways.

  • Ecomonic expansion cycles were 2 years before 1929, 4 years from 1933 to 1981, and then 8 years from 1982 to 2007.  Currently we are into year 7 of the upswing which began in 2009.  Hmmmmm...
  • Neighbor Islands have 3.4% unemployment vs 4.7% entire USA.  Tighter than this could generate problems.
  • Stocks looking good, 7.6% price growth from 2011 to 2016.  But...the trend curve appears to be breaking downward.
  • He no longer thinks the Hawaii housing market is "bubblicious".  He thinks the current 2% valuation uptrend is sustainable.

 

Richard T. Dolbeare, R(B) photo

 

Richard T. Dolbeare, R(B)

Keller Williams Realty(808) 651-4550

Aloha@RichardDolbeare.com 

www.MauiSandCastles.com and www.KauaiRocks.com 

 Hawaii multi-island specialist, Maui & Kauai
Richard Dolbeare eBusiness Card

Google+ Twitter icon Facebook logo Youtube logo

Comment balloon 2 commentsRichard T. Dolbeare • July 31 2016 05:05PM
Key Takaways from Paul Brewbaker July 2016 Presentation
share
Paul Brewbaker presented at the Kauai Board of Realtors and Realtors Association of Maui in July. I attended the Maui meeting and came away with the following takaways. Ecomonic expansion cycles were 2 years before 1929, 4 years from 1933 to 1981,… more
Kauai Absorption Rate at Mid-Year 2016
share
Absorption rate (how many months of active inventory) is a market health indicator where 6 months is typically viewed as a balanced market. Current Kauai data shows a sluggish market in the South Shore and North Side areas while the Central area.. more
Kauai Real Estate History
share
Kauai real estate sales continues to grow after with major setbacks in 2001 and 2007. Sales bounced back quickly after the 9/11 attack but it has taken longer after the economic collapse. In fact, sales still are not back to the frienzied levels… more
Maui Real Estate Update
share
The year 2015 is now well behind us as we rapidly move forward in 2016. Accordingly, 2015 data can now be added to the chart that I maintain for Maui home & condo sales activity. As a stacked chart, a change in a price group shows as a taller… more
Kauai Market Statistics for the Year 2015
share
We're well into the new year which means we can look back at 2015 sales data which is presented below courtesy of a local Kauai title & escrow company. Overall, I view the 2015 market as one reasonably well balanced with moderately increasing… more
Maui Real Estate Sales Update For Nov 2015
share
Maui Real Estate Market Update for November 2015 Maui Real Estate Market Update for November 2015 Maui real estate sales statistics through November 2015 are provided courtesy of a local title company. As shown in the data below, sales volume for… more
Kauai real estate sales history
share
Third quarter statistics are in for 2015 Kauai real estate sales. The charts below show our real estate cycles beginning in 2005, the buildup to what turned out to be a peak in 2006, the 2011 market bottom, and on to the present. All three… more
Maui Sales Statistics for August 2015
share
Maui sales statistics are in for the month of August, 2015. Data provided courtesy of Fidelity National Title Republic Title and Escrow of Hawaii AND Old Republic Title and Escrow of Hawaii. Year-to-date data shows increased sales and median sales… more
Kauai Sales Statistics for Aug 2015
share
Kauai sales statistics are in for the month of August, 2015. Data provided courtesy of Old Republic Title and Escrow of Hawaii. Mahalo ORTC! The data shows mixed results but in general, prices continue to increase substantially while the number of… more
Lihue's Hokulei Village Stores Beginning to Open
share
The Safeway-anchored Holulei Village shopping center is nearing completion. A drive-thru in July showed that a few stores are already open, namely Petco, Supercuts, and Jack-in-the-Box. The Safeway itself looks completed on the outside but is not… more
Kauai 2nd Quarter 2015 Real Estate Sales
share
Second quarter statistics are in for 2015 Kauai real estate sales. The charts below show our real estate cycles beginning in 2005, the buildup to what turned out to be a peak in 2006, the 2011 market bottom, and on to the present. All three… more
Maui Home & Condo Market Looking Healthy
share
The Maui real estate market continues to be healthy with all market area looking good except for residential homes in the East and West regions. Just 3 months ago, much of the data was in the red zone which is not the case now. The exceptionally… more
Kauai 1st Quarter 2015 Real Estate Sales
share
First quarter statistics are in for 2015 Kauai real estate sales. The charts below show our real estate cycles beginning in 2005, the buildup to what turned out to be a peak in 2006, the 2011 market bottom, and on to the present. All three… more
Maui Price Groups
share
Now that 2014 is in the history books, we can look at how it compares to previous years. Although prices continued to rise in 2014 (to be discussed in a future post), the total number of sales declined. The decline, while significant, was focused… more
Kauai 4th Quarter 2014 Real Estate Sales
share
Fourth quarter statistics are in for Kauai real estate sales. The charts below show our real estate cycles beginning in 2005, the buildup to what turned out to be a peak in 2006, the 2011 market bottom, and on to the present. All three categories,… more
Kauai 3rd Quarter 2014 Real Estate Sales
share
Third quarter statistics are in for Kauai real estate sales. The charts below show our real estate cycles beginning in 2005, the buildup to what turned out to be a peak in 2006. Charts continue through the 2011 market bottom and on to the present… more
Kauai 2nd Quarter 2014 Real Estate Sales
share
Second quarter statistics are in for Kauai real estate sales. The charts below show our real estate cycles beginning in 2005, the buildup to what turned out to be a peak in 2006. Charts continue through the 2011 bottom and on to the second quarter… more
Halelani Village Special Assessment is Ending
share
Halelani Village is a popular condominium on the west side of Lihue, our center of commerce. Properties that come on the market here quickly go under contract provided they are priced right. Halelani has relatively low maintenance fees of… more
Paul Brewbaker Speaks to Kauai Realtors
share
Paul Brewbaker presented his assessment of the Kauai housing market to the Kauai Board of Realtors general membership on Friday, June 27, 2014. Mr. Brewbaker is the renowned Hawaii economist with a unique talent for blending humor with economical… more
Buyer & Seller Markets Co-exist on Kauai
share
The Kauai real estate market continues to be a paradox with some areas a balanced market trending to a seller's market and others firmly entrenched in the red, buyer market region. South Shore condos are especially troublesome for sellers with a 19… more